Grade 7 school performance of children born preterm: a retrospective Canadian Cohort study.

IMPORTANCE: Data on the middle school outcomes of preterm children are limited and have methodologic issues. OBJECTIVE: To study the association between preterm birth and grade 7 school performance. METHODS: A retrospective population-based cohort study of children born in Manitoba, Canada between 1994 and 2006 using their grade 7 school performance data. A secondary sibling cohort was created comprising children born preterm and their full-term siblings. Primary exposure was preterm birth categorized as <28, 28-33 and 34-36 weeks gestation. The two co-primary grade 7 outcome measures were: not meeting the mathematics competencies, and not meeting the student engagement competencies. Multivariable logistic regression models tested the association between preterm birth and both co-primary outcomes; adjusted odds ratios (aORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated. RESULTS: 7653 preterm (gestational age median [IQR]: 35 weeks [34,36]) and 110,313 term (40 [39,40]) were included. 43% of < 28 weeks, 18% of 28-33 weeks and 17% of 34-36 weeks had the mathematics co-primary outcome compared to 13% of term children. The corresponding % for the student engagement outcome were 42%, 24%, 24% and 24% respectively. Preterm birth was associated with the mathematics (<28 weeks: 5.48, 3.89-7.70; 28-33 weeks: 1.47, 1.27-1.70; 34-36 weeks: 1.26, 1.16-1.35) and student engagement outcomes (<28 weeks: 2.49, 1.76-3.51; 28-33 weeks: 1.21, 1.06-1.39; 34-36 weeks: 1.09, 1.01-1.16). However, there was no difference in outcomes among the sibling cohort. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Children born preterm had lower grade 7 performance compared to children born term in this population-based cohort. Screening and supports for them in their middle school years are warranted.

A Canadian survey of perceptions and practices related to ordering of blood tests in the intensive care unit.

PURPOSE: The ordering of routine blood test panels in advance is common in intensive care units (ICUs), with limited consideration of the pretest probability of finding abnormalities. This practice contributes to anemia, false positive results, and health care costs. We sought to understand practices and attitudes of Canadian adult intensivists regarding ordering of blood tests in critically ill patients. METHODS: We conducted a nationwide Canadian cross-sectional survey consisting of 15 questions assessing three domains (global perceptions, test ordering, daily practice), plus 11 demographic questions. The target sample was one intensivist per adult ICU in Canada. We summarized responses using descriptive statistics and present data as mean with standard deviation (SD) or count with percentage as appropriate. RESULTS: Over seven months, 80/131 (61%) physicians responded from 77 ICUs, 50% of which were from Ontario. Respondents had a mean (SD) clinical experience of 12 (9) years, and 61% worked in academic centres. When asked about their perceptions of how frequently unnecessary blood tests are ordered, 61% responded "sometimes" and 23% responded "almost always." Fifty-seven percent favoured ordering complete blood counts one day in advance. Only 24% of respondents believed that advanced blood test ordering frequently led to changes in management. The most common factors perceived to influence blood test ordering in the ICU were physician preferences, institutional patterns, and order sets. CONCLUSION: Most respondents to this survey perceived that unnecessary blood testing occurs in the ICU. The survey identified possible strategies to decrease the number of blood tests.

RéSUMé: OBJECTIF: La prescription à l'avance de tests sanguins de routine est courante dans les unités de soins intensifs (USI), avec une prise en compte limitée de la probabilité de découverte d'anomalies avant le test. Cette pratique contribue à l'anémie, aux résultats faussement positifs et aux coûts des soins de santé. Nous avons cherché à comprendre les pratiques et les attitudes des intensivistes pour adultes au Canada en ce qui concerne la prescription d'analyses sanguines chez la patientèle gravement malade. MéTHODE: Nous avons mené un sondage transversal à l'échelle nationale au Canada en posant 15 questions évaluant trois domaines (perceptions globales, commande de tests, pratique quotidienne), ainsi que 11 questions démographiques. L'échantillon cible était composé d'un·e intensiviste par unité de soins intensifs pour adultes au Canada. Nous avons résumé les réponses à l'aide de statistiques descriptives et présenté les données sous forme de moyennes avec écarts type (ET) ou de dénombrements avec pourcentages, selon le cas. RéSULTATS: Sur une période de sept mois, 80 médecins sur 131 (61%) ont répondu dans 77 unités de soins intensifs, dont 50% en Ontario. Les répondant·es avaient une expérience clinique moyenne (ET) de 12 (9) ans, et 61% travaillaient dans des centres universitaires. Lorsqu'on leur a demandé ce qu'ils ou elles pensaient de la fréquence à laquelle des tests sanguins inutiles étaient prescrits, 61% ont répondu « parfois ¼ et 23% ont répondu « presque toujours ¼. Cinquante-sept pour cent étaient en faveur de la réalisation d'une formule sanguine complète un jour à l'avance. Seulement 24% des personnes interrogées estimaient que la prescription de tests sanguins à l'avance entraînait fréquemment des changements dans la prise en charge. Les facteurs les plus souvent perçus comme influençant la prescription d'analyses sanguines à l'unité de soins intensifs étaient les préférences des médecins, les habitudes institutionnelles et les ensembles d'ordonnances. CONCLUSION: La plupart des répondant·es à ce sondage ont l'impression que des tests sanguins inutiles sont prescrits aux soins intensifs. L'enquête a permis d'identifier des stratégies possibles pour réduire le nombre de tests sanguins.

Mental Disorders Among Adolescents and Young Adults With Cancer: A Canadian Population-Based and Sibling Cohort Study.

PURPOSE: To compare the cumulative incidence of mental disorders among adolescents and young adults (AYAs) diagnosed with cancer with the general population and their unaffected siblings. METHODS: A retrospective, population-based, matched cohort design was used to investigate the impact of cancer diagnosis on mental disorders among individuals age 15-39 diagnosed between 1989 and 2019. Two cancer-free cohorts were identified: matched population-based and sibling cohorts. Outcomes included incidence of mood and anxiety disorders, substance use disorders, suicide outcomes, psychotic disorders, and any of the preceding four categories within 5 years of cancer diagnosis. Competing risk regression was used to estimate adjusted subhazard ratios (aSHR) and 95% CIs. RESULTS: Among 3,818 AYAs with cancer matched to the population-based cancer-free cohort, individuals with cancer were more likely to be diagnosed with incident mental disorders than those without cancer; the risk was highest immediately after a cancer diagnosis and decreased over time with aSHR [95% CI] for mood and anxiety disorders at 0-6 months (11.27 [95% CI, 6.69 to 18.97]), 6-12 months (2.35 [95% CI, 1.54 to 3.58]), and 12-24 months (2.06 [95% CI, 1.55 to 2.75]); for substance use disorders at 0-6 months (2.73 [95% CI, 1.90 to 3.92]); for psychotic disorders at 0-6 months (4.69 [95% CI, 2.07 to 10.65]); and for any mental disorder at 0-6 months (4.46 [95% CI, 3.41 to 5.85]), 6-12 months (1.56 [95% CI, 1.14 to 2.14]), and 12-24 months (1.7 [95% CI, 1.36 to 2.13]) postcancer diagnosis. In sibling comparison, cancer diagnosis was associated with a higher incidence of mood and anxiety and any mental disorder during first 6 months of cancer diagnosis. CONCLUSION: AYAs with cancer experience a greater incidence of mental disorders after cancer diagnosis relative to population-based and sibling cohorts without cancer, primarily within first 2 years, underscoring the need to address mental health concerns during this period.

A Qualitative Study of Nursing Home Staff Lived Experience With Advance Care Planning.

OBJECTIVE: Advance care planning (ACP) within nursing homes (NHs) is an integral component of resident-centered care yet remains an ongoing area for improvement. This study explored health care providers' experiences when facilitating ACP discussions with residents and their families. DESIGN: Interpretive description was used to explore meanings and generate knowledge that is applicable for clinical contexts. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: A purposive sample of 27 staff members (2 directors of care, 3 assistant directors of care, 1 nurse practitioner, 11 registered nurses, 3 registered practical nurses, and 7 social workers) from 29 NHs located across 3 Canadian provinces that participated in cluster-randomized intervention study to improve ACP. METHODS: Semistructured interviews were conducted between January and July 2020. Interpretive description methods were used for analysis. RESULTS: Three themes were identified. "Navigating Relational Tensions During ACP with Families" captures the relational tensions that participants experienced while navigating ACP processes with residents and their families. The second theme, "Where's the Doctor?" highlights the general lack of physician involvement in ACP discussions and the subsequent pressures faced by participants when supporting residents and families. The last theme, "Crises Change the Best Laid Plans," illustrates the challenges participants face when trying to adhere to existing care plans during residents' medical crises. CONCLUSION AND IMPLICATIONS: Participants' experiences indicate that current ACP processes in NHs do not meet the needs of residents, families, or care teams. Additional support from physicians and changes to structural processes are needed to support resident-centered end-of-life planning within this care context.

Feasibility and Acceptability of a Virtual "Coping with Brain Fog" Intervention for Improving Cognitive Functioning in Young Adults with Cancer.

Purpose: Cancer-related cognitive deficits (CRCDs) are common among young adults (YAs) (ages: 18-39) with cancer and can be debilitating. We aimed to determine the feasibility and acceptability of a virtual Coping with Brain Fog intervention among YAs with cancer. Our secondary aims were to explore the intervention's effect on cognitive functioning and psychological distress. Methods: This prospective feasibility study involved eight weekly, 90-minute virtual group sessions. Sessions focused on psychoeducation on CRCD, memory skills, task management, and psychological well-being. The primary outcomes were feasibility and acceptability of the intervention evaluated through attendance (>60% not missing >2 consecutive sessions) and satisfaction (Client Satisfaction Questionnaire [CSQ] score >20). Secondary outcomes included the following: cognitive functioning (Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy-Cognitive Function [FACT-Cog] Scale) and symptoms of distress (Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System [PROMIS] Short Form-Anxiety/Depression/Fatigue) and participants' experiences using semistructured interviews. Paired t-tests and summative content analysis were used for quantitative and qualitative data analyses. Results: Twelve participants (five male, mean age = 33 years) were enrolled. All but one participant met feasibility criteria of not missing >2 consecutive sessions (11/12 = 92%). The mean CSQ score was 28.1 (standard deviation 2.5). Significant improvement in cognitive function as measured by FACT-Cog Scale was observed postintervention (p < 0.05). Ten participants adopted strategies from the program to combat CRCD, and eight reported CRCD symptom improvement. Conclusion: A virtual Coping with Brain Fog intervention is feasible and acceptable for the symptoms of CRCD among YAs with cancer. The exploratory data indicate subjective improvement in cognitive function, and will inform the design and implementation of a future clinical trial. ClinicalTrials.gov Registration: NCT05115422.

Comparison of Administrative versus Electronic Health Record-based Methods for Identifying Sepsis Hospitalizations.

Rationale: Despite the importance of sepsis surveillance, no optimal approach for identifying sepsis hospitalizations exists. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Adult Sepsis Event Definition (CDC-ASE) is an electronic medical record-based algorithm that yields more stable estimates over time than diagnostic coding-based approaches but may still result in misclassification. Objectives: We sought to assess three approaches to identifying sepsis hospitalizations, including a modified CDC-ASE. Methods: This cross-sectional study included patients in the Veterans Affairs Ann Arbor Healthcare System admitted via the emergency department (February 2021 to February 2022) with at least one episode of acute organ dysfunction within 48 hours of emergency department presentation. Patients were assessed for community-onset sepsis using three methods: 1) explicit diagnosis codes, 2) the CDC-ASE, and 3) a modified CDC-ASE. The modified CDC-ASE required at least two systemic inflammatory response syndrome criteria instead of blood culture collection and had a more sensitive definition of respiratory dysfunction. Each method was compared with a reference standard of physician adjudication via medical record review. Patients were considered to have sepsis if they had at least one episode of acute organ dysfunction graded as "definitely" or "probably" infection related on physician review. Results: Of 821 eligible hospitalizations, 449 were selected for physician review. Of these, 98 (21.8%) were classified as sepsis by medical record review, 103 (22.9%) by the CDC-ASE, 132 (29.4%) by the modified CDC-ASE, and 37 (8.2%) by diagnostic codes. Accuracy was similar across the three methods of interest (80.6% for the CDC-ASE, 79.6% for the modified CDC-ADE, and 84.2% for diagnostic codes), but sensitivity and specificity varied. The CDC-ASE algorithm had sensitivity of 58.2% (95% confidence interval [CI], 47.2-68.1%) and specificity of 86.9% (95% CI, 82.9-90.2%). The modified CDC-ASE algorithm had greater sensitivity (69.4% [95% CI, 59.3-78.3%]) but lower specificity (81.8% [95% CI, 77.3-85.7%]). Diagnostic codes had lower sensitivity (32.7% [95% CI, 23.5-42.9%]) but greater specificity (98.6% [95% CI, 96.7-99.55%]). Conclusions: There are several approaches to identifying sepsis hospitalizations for surveillance that have acceptable accuracy. These approaches yield varying sensitivity and specificity, so investigators should carefully consider the test characteristics of each method before determining an appropriate method for their intended use.

Effect of Air Transport Delay on Mortality in Critical Illness: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: For critically ill patients in remote areas, we assessed the association of transport delay via fixed wing air ambulance on 30-day mortality, excluding interhospital transports. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort analysis of all such adult transports in Manitoba, Canada, over 5.4 years. Causal mediation analysis was used, with the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II Acute Physiology Score at the destination intensive care unit as the mediator. The covariates were age, sex, comorbidities, socioeconomic status, and physiologic variables from the sending site. RESULTS: The primary cohort was composed of 554 patients; 113 (20.4%) died within 30 days. The total transport delay (mean ± standard deviation) was 5.1 ± 1.7 hours. Compared with no delay, the average 5-hour transport delay was associated with an odds ratio for mortality of 1.34 with a 95% confidence interval from 40% lower to 270% higher, with 60% of the influence of total travel time attributable to worsening of patients' acute physiologic status during the delay in intensive care unit admission due to transport. CONCLUSIONS: Although these findings provide insufficient evidence for an effect of fixed wing air transport delay on mortality among critically ill patients, they underscore the need for additional and larger studies on this topic.

Grade 3 school performance among children born preterm: a population-based cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To study the association between prematurity and grade 3 school performance in a contemporary cohort of children. METHODS: Population-based retrospective cohort study in Manitoba, Canada. Children born between 1999 and 2011 who had their grade 3 school performance data available were eligible. Preterm birth (<37 weeks) was the exposure of interest assessed using multivariable logistic regression models. Our primary outcomes were 'needs ongoing help' or 'outside the range' in at least two of each of the (1) four numeracy and (2) three reading competencies. RESULTS: Of the 186 956 eligible children, 101 436 children (7187 preterm (gestational age, median (IQR) 35 weeks (34, 36)) and 94 249 term (40 weeks (39,40)) were included. Overall, 19% of preterm and 14% of term children had the numeracy outcome (adjusted OR (aOR) 1.38; 95% CI 1.29 to 1.47, p<0.001), while 19% and 13% had the reading outcome (aOR 1.38; 1.29 to 1.48, p<0.001). These differences showed a gestational age gradient. Gestational age (for numeracy, <28 weeks aOR 4.93 (3.45 to 7.03), 28-33 weeks 1.72 (1.50 to 1.98), 34-36 weeks 1.24 (1.15 to 1.34); for reading, <28 weeks 3.51 (2.40 to 5.14), 28-33 weeks 1.72 (1.49 to 1.98), 34-36 weeks 1.24 (1.17-1.37)), male sex, small for gestational age and maternal medical and sociodemographic factors were associated with the numeracy and reading outcomes in this cohort. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Children born preterm had poorer performance in grade 3 numeracy and reading proficiencies than children born full term. All children born preterm, not just those born extremely preterm, should be screened for reading and numeracy performance in school and strategies implemented to address any deficits.

Mental Disorders Among Mothers of Children Born Preterm: A Population-Based Cohort Study in Canada.

BACKGROUND: Our aim was to examine the association between preterm delivery and incident maternal mental disorders using a population-based cohort of mothers in Canada. METHODS: Retrospective matched cohort study using Manitoba Centre for Health Policy (MCHP) administrative data in Manitoba. Mothers who delivered preterm babies (<37 weeks gestational age) between 1998 and 2013 were matched 1:5 to mothers of term babies using socio-demographic variables. Primary outcome was any incident mental disorder within 5 years of delivery defined as any of (a) mood and anxiety disorders, (b) psychotic disorders, (c) substance use disorders, and (d) suicide or suicide attempts. Multivariable Poisson regression model was used to estimate the 5-year adjusted incidence rate ratios (IRRs). RESULTS: Mothers of preterm children (N = 5,361) had similar incidence rates of any mental disorder (17.4% vs. 16.6%, IRR = 0.99, 95% CI, 0.91 to 1.07) compared to mothers of term children (N = 24,932). Mothers of term children had a higher rate of any mental disorder in the first year while mothers of preterm children had higher rates from 2 to 5 years. Being the mother of a child born <28 week (IRR = 1.5, 95% CI, 1.14 to 2.04), but not 28-33 weeks (IRR = 1.03, 95% CI, 0.86 to 1.19) or 34-36 weeks (IRR = 0.96, 95% CI, 0.88 to 1.05), was associated with any mental disorder. INTERPRETATION: Mothers of preterm and term children had similar rates of incident mental disorders within 5-years post-delivery. Extreme prematurity was a risk factor for any mental disorder. Targeted screening and support of this latter group may be beneficial.

School Readiness Among Children Born Preterm in Manitoba, Canada.

Importance: Children born preterm may experience learning challenges at school. However, there is a paucity of data on the school readiness of these children as they prepare to begin grade 1. Objective: To examine the association between prematurity and school readiness in a population-based cohort of children. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study was conducted in the province of Manitoba, Canada, and involved 2 cohorts of children in kindergarten at the time of data collection. The population-based cohort included children born between January 1, 2000, and December 31, 2011, whose school readiness was assessed in kindergarten using the Early Development Instrument (EDI) data. The sibling cohort comprised children born preterm and their closest-in-age siblings born full term. Data were analyzed between March 12 and September 28, 2021. Exposures: Preterm birth, defined as gestational age (GA) less than 37 weeks. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was vulnerability in the EDI, defined as a score below the tenth percentile of the Canadian population norms for any 1 or more of the 5 EDI domains (physical health and well-being, social competence, emotional maturity, language and cognitive development, and communication skills and general knowledge). Logistic regression models were used to identify the factors associated with vulnerability in the EDI. P values were adjusted for multiplicity using the Simes false discovery method. Results: Of 86 829 eligible children, 63 277 were included, of whom 4352 were preterm (mean [SD] GA, 34 [2] weeks; 2315 boys [53%]) and 58 925 were full term (mean [SD] GA, 39 (1) weeks; 29 885 boys [51%]). Overall, 35% of children (1536 of 4352) born preterm were vulnerable in the EDI compared with 28% of children (16 449 of 58 925) born full term (adjusted odds ratio [AOR], 1.32; 95% CI, 1.23-1.41; P < .001]). Compared with children born full term, those born preterm had a higher percentage of vulnerability in each of the 5 EDI domains. In the population-based cohort, prematurity (34-36 weeks' GA: AOR, 1.23 [95% CI, 1.14-1.33]; <34 weeks' GA: AOR, 1.72 [95% CI, 1.48-1.99]), male sex (AOR, 2.24; 95% CI, 2.16-2.33), small for gestational age (AOR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.23-1.40), and various maternal medical and sociodemographic factors were associated with EDI vulnerability. In the sibling cohort, EDI outcomes were similar for both children born preterm and their siblings born full term except for the communication skills and general knowledge domain (AOR, 1.39; 95% CI, 1.07-1.80) and Multiple Challenge Index (AOR, 1.43; 95% CI, 1.06-1.92), whereas male sex (AOR, 2.19; 95% CI, 1.62-2.96) and maternal age at delivery (AOR, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.38-1.70) were associated with EDI vulnerability. Conclusions and Relevance: Results of this study suggest that, in a population-based cohort, children born preterm had a lower school-readiness rate than children born full term, but this difference was not observed in the sibling cohort. Child and maternal factors were associated with lack of school readiness among this population-based cohort.

Variation in Bed-to-Physician Ratios During Weekday Daytime Hours in ICUs in Australia and New Zealand.

OBJECTIVES: To determine common "bed-to-physician" ratios during weekday hours across ICUs and assess factors associated with variability in this ratio. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: All ICUs in Australia/New Zealand that participated in a staffing survey administered in 2017-2018. PATIENTS: ICU admissions from 2016 to 2018. METHODS: We linked survey data with patient-level data. We defined: 1) bed-to-intensivist ratio as the number of usually available ICU beds divided by the number of onsite weekday daytime intensivists; and 2) bed-to-physician ratio as the number of available ICU beds divided by the total number of physicians (intensivists + nonintensivists, including trainees). We calculated the median and interquartile range (IQR) of bed-to-intensivist ratio and bed-to-physician ratios during weekday hours. We assessed variability in each by type of hospital and ICU and by severity of illness of patients, defined by the predicted hospital mortality. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Of the 123 (87.2%) of Australia/New Zealand ICUs that returned staffing surveys, 114 (92.7%) had an intensivist present during weekday daytime hours, and 116 (94.3%) reported at least one nonintensivist physician. The median bed-to-intensivist ratio was 8.0 (IQR, 6.0-11.4), which decreased to a bed-to-physician ratio of 3.0 (IQR, 2.2-4.9). These ratios varied with mean severity of illness of the patients in the unit. The median bed-to-intensivist ratio was highest (13.5) for ICUs with a mean predicted mortality > 2-4%, and the median bed-to-physician ratio was highest (5.7) for ICUs with a mean predicted mortality of > 4-6%. Both ratios decreased and plateaued in ICUs with a mean predicted mortality for patients greater than 8% (median bed-to-intensivist ratio range, 6.8-8.0, and bed-to-physician ratio range of 2.4-2.7). CONCLUSIONS: Weekday bed-to-physician ratios in Australia/New Zealand ICUs are lower than the bed-to-intensivist ratios and have a relatively fixed ratio of less than 3 for units taking care of patients with a higher average severity of illness. These relationships may be different in other countries or healthcare systems.

White blood cell count trajectory and mortality in septic shock: a historical cohort study.

PURPOSE: Septic shock is associated with a mortality of 20-40%. The white blood cell count (WBC) at hospital admission correlates with prognosis in septic shock. Here, we explore whether the trajectory of WBC after admission provides further information about outcomes. We aimed to identify groups of patients with different WBC trajectories and the association of WBC trajectory with mortality. METHODS: We included adult patients with septic shock in two academic intensive care units (ICU) in Winnipeg, MB, Canada between 2006 and 2012. We used group-based trajectory analysis to group patients according to their WBC patterns over the first seven days in the ICU. Our primary analysis was the association of WBC trajectory group on 30-day mortality using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: We included 917 patients with septic shock. The final model identified seven distinct WBC trajectories. The rising WBC trajectory was independently associated with increased mortality (hazard ratio, 3.41; 95% confidence interval, 1.86 to 6.26; P < 0.001) compared with the stable WBC trajectory. CONCLUSION: In patients with septic shock, distinct and clinically relevant groups can be identified by analyzing WBC trajectories. A rising WBC trajectory was associated with higher mortality.

RéSUMé: OBJECTIF: Le choc septique est associé à une mortalité de 20 à 40 %. La numération leucocytaire à l'admission à l'hôpital est corrélée au pronostic en cas de choc septique. Dans ce manuscrit, nous tentons de déterminer si l'évolution de la numération leucocytaire après l'admission fournit plus d'informations sur les devenirs. Nous avons cherché à identifier des groupes de patients présentant différentes trajectoires d'évolution de numération leucocytaire et l'association entre l'évolution de la numération et la mortalité. MéTHODE: Nous avons inclus des patients adultes atteints d'un choc septique dans deux unités de soins intensifs (USI) universitaires à Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada entre 2006 et 2012. Nous avons utilisé une analyse de l'évolution basée sur le groupe pour regrouper les patients en fonction du type d'évolution de la numération leucocytaire au cours des sept premiers jours à l'USI. Notre analyse principale consistait à déterminer l'association entre le groupe d'évolution de numération leucocytaire et la mortalité à 30 jours en utilisant une régression multivariable à risque proportionnel de Cox. RéSULTATS: Nous avons inclus 917 patients atteints de choc septique. Le modèle final a identifié sept types de trajectoire d'évolution de numération leucocytaire distincts. Une évolution ascendante de la numération leucocytaire était indépendamment associée à une augmentation de la mortalité (rapport de risque, 3,41; intervalle de confiance à 95 %, 1,86 à 6,26; P < 0,001) par rapport à une évolution de numération leucocytaire stable. CONCLUSION: Chez les patients atteints de choc septique, des groupes distincts et cliniquement pertinents peuvent être identifiés en analysant les trajectoires d'évolution de la numération leucocytaire. Une évolution ascendante de la numération leucocytaire était associée à une mortalité plus élevée.

Protocol for a scoping review of sepsis epidemiology.

INTRODUCTION: Sepsis is a common, life-threatening syndrome of physiologic, pathologic, and biochemical abnormalities that are caused by infection and propagated by a dysregulated immune response. In 2017, the estimated annual incidence of sepsis around the world was 508 cases per 100,000 (95% confidence interval [CI], 422-612 cases per 100,000), however, reported incidence rates vary significantly by country. A scoping review will identify knowledge gaps by systematically investigating the incidence of sepsis. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This scoping review will be guided by the updated JBI (formerly Joanna Briggs Institute) methodology. We will search the following electronic databases: MEDLINE, EMBASE, CINAHL, and Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews/Central Register of Controlled Trials. In addition, we will search websites of trial and study registries. We will review titles and abstracts of potentially eligible studies and then full-texts by two independent reviewers. We will include any study that is focused on the incidence of sepsis or septic shock in any population. Data will be abstracted independently using pre-piloted data extraction forms, and we will present results according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analysis Protocols Extension for Scoping Reviews. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The results of this review will be used to create a publicly available indexed and searchable electronic registry of existing sepsis research relating to incidence in neonates, children, and adults. With input from stakeholders, we will identify the implications of study findings for policy, practice, and research. Ethics approval was not required given this study reports on existing literature.

BABEL (Better tArgeting, Better outcomes for frail ELderly patients) advance care planning: a comprehensive approach to advance care planning in nursing homes: a cluster randomised trial.

BACKGROUND: Nursing home (NH) residents should have the opportunity to consider, discuss and document their healthcare wishes. However, such advance care planning (ACP) is frequently suboptimal. OBJECTIVE: Assess a comprehensive, person-centred ACP approach. DESIGN: Unblinded, cluster randomised trial. SETTING: Fourteen control and 15 intervention NHs in three Canadian provinces, 2018-2020. SUBJECTS: 713 residents (442 control, 271 intervention) aged ≥65 years, with elevated mortality risk. METHODS: The intervention was a structured, $\sim$60-min discussion between a resident, substitute decision-maker (SDM) and nursing home staff to: (i) confirm SDMs' identities and role; (ii) prepare SDMs for medical emergencies; (iii) explain residents' clinical condition and prognosis; (iv) ascertain residents' preferred philosophy to guide decision-making and (v) identify residents' preferred options for specific medical emergencies. Control NHs continued their usual ACP processes. Co-primary outcomes were: (a) comprehensiveness of advance care planning, assessed using the Audit of Advance Care Planning, and (b) Comfort Assessment in Dying. Ten secondary outcomes were assessed. P-values were adjusted for all 12 outcomes using the false discovery rate method. RESULTS: The intervention resulted in 5.21-fold higher odds of respondents rating ACP comprehensiveness as being better (95% confidence interval [CI] 3.53, 7.61). Comfort in dying did not differ (difference = -0.61; 95% CI -2.2, 1.0). Among the secondary outcomes, antimicrobial use was significantly lower in intervention homes (rate ratio = 0.79, 95% CI 0.66, 0.94). CONCLUSIONS: Superior comprehensiveness of the BABEL approach to ACP underscores the importance of allowing adequate time to address all important aspects of ACP and may reduce unwanted interventions towards the end of life.

Association of patient-to-intensivist ratio with hospital mortality in Australia and New Zealand.

PURPOSE: The impact of intensivist workload on intensive care unit (ICU) outcomes is incompletely described and assessed across healthcare systems and countries. We sought to examine the association of patient-to-intensivist ratio (PIR) with hospital mortality in Australia/New Zealand (ANZ) ICUs. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study of adult admissions to ANZ ICUs (August 2016-June 2018) using two cohorts: "narrow", based on previously used criteria including restriction to ICUs with a single daytime intensivist; and "broad", refined by individual ICU daytime staffing information. The exposure was average daily PIR and the outcome was hospital mortality. We used summary statistics to describe both cohorts and multilevel multivariable logistic regression models to assess the association of PIR with mortality. In each, PIR was modeled using restricted cubic splines to allow for non-linear associations. The broad cohort model included non-PIR physician and non-physician staffing covariables. RESULTS: The narrow cohort of 27,380 patients across 67 ICUs (predicted mortality: median 1.2% [IQR 0.4-1.4%]; mean 5.9% [sd 13.2%]) had a median PIR of 10.1 (IQR 7-14). The broad cohort of 91,206 patients across 73 ICUs (predicted mortality: 1.9% [0.6-6.5%]; 7.6% [14.9%]) had a median PIR of 7.8 (IQR 5.8-10.2). We found no association of PIR with mortality in either the narrow (PIR 1st spline term odds ratio [95% CI]: 1 [0.94, 1.06], Wald testing of spline terms p = 0.61) or the broad (1.02 [0.97, 1.07], p = 0.4) cohort. CONCLUSION: We found no association of PIR with hospital mortality across ANZ ICUs. The low cohort predicted mortality may limit external validity.

Applying the Knowledge-to-Action Framework to Engage Stakeholders and Solve Shared Challenges with Person-Centered Advance Care Planning in Long-Term Care Homes.

As they near the end of life, long term care (LTC) residents often experience unmet needs and unnecessary hospital transfers, a reflection of suboptimal advance care planning (ACP). We applied the knowledge-to-action framework to identify shared barriers and solutions to ultimately improve the process of ACP and improve end-of-life care for LTC residents. We held a 1-day workshop for LTC residents, families, directors/administrators, ethicists, and clinicians from Manitoba, Alberta, and Ontario. The workshop aimed to identify: (1) shared understandings of ACP, (2) barriers to respecting resident wishes, and (3) solutions to better respect resident wishes. Plenary and group sessions were recorded and thematic analysis was performed. We identified four themes: (1) differing provincial frameworks, (2) shared challenges, (3) knowledge products, and 4) ongoing ACP. Theme 2 had four subthemes: (i) lacking clarity on substitute decision maker (SDM) identity, (ii) lacking clarity on the SDM role, (iii) failing to share sufficient information when residents formulate care wishes, and (iv) failing to communicate during a health crisis. These results have informed the development of a standardized ACP intervention currently being evaluated in a randomized trial in three Canadian provinces.

Administrative Data Is Insufficient to Identify Near-Future Critical Illness: A Population-Based Retrospective Cohort Study.

Background: Prediction of future critical illness could render it practical to test interventions seeking to avoid or delay the coming event. Objective: Identify adults having >33% probability of near-future critical illness. Research Design: Retrospective cohort study, 2013-2015. Subjects: Community-dwelling residents of Manitoba, Canada, aged 40-89 years. Measures: The outcome was a near-future critical illness, defined as intensive care unit admission with invasive mechanical ventilation, or non-palliative death occurring 30-180 days after 1 April each year. By dividing the data into training and test cohorts, a Classification and Regression Tree analysis was used to identify subgroups with ≥33% probability of the outcome. We considered 72 predictors including sociodemographics, chronic conditions, frailty, and health care utilization. Sensitivity analysis used logistic regression methods. Results: Approximately 0.38% of each yearly cohort experienced near-future critical illness. The optimal Tree identified 2,644 mutually exclusive subgroups. Socioeconomic status was the most influential variable, followed by nursing home residency and frailty; age was sixth. In the training data, the model performed well; 41 subgroups containing 493 subjects had ≥33% members who developed the outcome. However, in the test data, those subgroups contained 429 individuals, with 20 (4.7%) experiencing the outcome, which comprised 0.98% of all subjects with the outcome. While logistic regression showed less model overfitting, it likewise failed to achieve the stated objective. Conclusions: High-fidelity prediction of near-future critical illness among community-dwelling adults was not successful using population-based administrative data. Additional research is needed to ascertain whether the inclusion of additional types of data can achieve this goal.